Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel rates


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the third time this year due to falling prices and also reduced its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has actually produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average comparable sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had predicted since the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' prices have actually been adversely impacted by a considerable decrease in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and sustainable item market value premiums have remained weak," the business added.


Industry executives and analysts have actually stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share cost had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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